Bend in a large picturesque river.

Environmental Remote Sensing for Water Sustainability

Ombadi et al. (2021), Retrospective Analysis and Bayesian Model Averaging of CMIP6 Precipitation in the Nile River Basin. Journal of Hydrometeorology.

The Nile River basin is shared between 11 countries, and its water supports life for a population of millions in riparian countries. A major question with significant socioeconomic and political implications is how will climate change impact water resources availability in the Nile River? We often resort to outputs of Global Climate Models (GCMs) to address this question, but different models show different results and trends. In this paper, a framework based on Bayesian Average Modeling is proposed to utilize historical satellite-based observations in constraining future projections of climate models.